The findings of the study have been done using advanced statistical modelling in place by mapping existing data. The study has also been sent to the ‘International Journal of Infectious Diseases’ for further analysis.

Basing the study on the number of tests being done right now, researchers have predicted that the country will have the most number of active cases in the world in a matter of weeks.

“Our results obtained using a model based on statistical learning techniques applied to the existing data, indicate that India is likely to become the top COVID-19 country in the world, surpassing the United States by about the first week of October, that is in about a month’s time. The total number of cases is also likely to cross the 70-lakh mark by this time.”, said a professor, Dr TSL Radhika of the Department of Applied Mathematics, BITS Pilani, Hyderabad.

Researchers are also working on using advanced tools to made predictions for the longer term as well, considering that living with the virus might become our new normal.

(Image used for representational purposes only)

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